An eastern shift for Irma
An eastern shift in Irma track has been present in both the 5 AM and 8 AM updates. Category 5 Hurricane Irma has max sustained winds at 185 mph. Irma made landfall in the Leeward islands early this morning tearing through Saint Martin & Anguilla. Some stations on the islands this morning observed gusts to 155 MPH before being knocked out. Irma now moving west/northwest at 16 mph as it heads toward the Puerto Rico later tonight and toward the Florida Keys Saturday into Sunday.
Models agree on a sharp turn to the north over the weekend, but exactly when this turn will happen is still uncertain. This turn, will determine what areas will see direct impacts.
There are a few possible scenarios that can still play out with Irma...
1. Irma makes the turn later and spends much of its life tracking northward over Florida. If this case were to play out, Irma would then weaken considerable over land.
2. A turn near the Florida coast, in the eastern Atlantic, would keep Irma over warm waters where it would likely remain a powerful hurricane as it approaches the Carolina coast.
3. A fast turn north would still bring impacts to South Florida, but will then track northeast away from the east coast and out to sea.
It is never to late to have a plan and ALWAYS know your zone. Better safe than sorry!
TROPICAL STORM JOSE
Tropical Storm Jose formed late Tuesday morning making the 10th named storm of the season. Jose is not expected to impact the United States, but keeping a close eye on it.
TROPICAL STORM KATIA
Tropical Depression Thirteen is now Tropical Storm Katia. This storm is in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and looks to make landfall in Mexico. If the United States were to see any impacts from this storm, it will just be rough surf and moderate to high rip current risk.