Disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico

NHC is watching an area of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico.

As of Sunday afternoon, the National Hurricane Center has highlighted an area of interest in the southeast Gulf of Mexico that has the potential for subtropical or tropical development over the next few days.

Over the next 48 hours, the broad area of low pressure has a low chance (30%) for formation. Through the next 5 days, it has a medium chance (40%) for formation.

This area of low pressure will move slowly to the northwest toward the Florida Panhandle over the next few days.

In the meantime, this low pressure system will bring periods of heavy rain to the Florida Peninsula.

Regardless of total formation or not, it will likely bring heavy rain to areas in the Southeast and Florida.

Northwest Florida could start to see effects from this area of low pressure during the early and middle half of the work week and daily rain chances are in the forecast this week.

If this area of low pressure becomes more organized and does in fact develop into something tropical, it would likely only be a tropical depression; however, *IF* it were to develop into a named storm, it would be named Alberto.

Keep in mind, we're only about two weeks from the official start of hurricane season. This is why we stress having your hurricane preparedness plan ready to go year-round!

Stay up to date with the First Warning Channel 3 Weather team on-air and online as we fine-tune the forecast over the next several days.

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