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Why rain chances are high now, lower later

Photo taken at Pensacola Beach by Fred Esposito and submitted to WEAR on June 30, 2018.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected again on Thursday.

The wet weather pattern is expected to continue as a weak frontal boundary moves south toward the Gulf Coast. This frontal boundary will produce scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across Northwest Florida.

The risk of severe weather is low with the main threat from this system being heavy rain. Where exactly heavy rainfall will occur is hard to determine due to the scattered nature of the storms. Some minor flooding is possible, especially in areas with poor drainage, as storms will be slow-moving over already saturated grounds.

When it is not raining, skies will likely be mostly cloudy. The increase in cloud cover will trap moisture in near the surface leading to humid and warm conditions. Daytime highs will be in in the upper 80s.

The rain moves out of the area on Friday as high pressure builds into Florida's panhandle from the west. Partly cloudy skies are forecast for Friday and Saturday with the chance of precipitation dropping to around 30-40 percent. More sunshine will lead to higher temperatures with highs in the lower 90s and heat index values above 100.

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